MLB Baseball Vegas Online Sports Betting & Free Predictions Monday June 11th, 2018
Chicago Meets Milwaukee with First Place in NL Central on the Line
The Chicago Cubs trail the Milwaukee Brewers by a half game entering this key three-game series to start the week.
Chicago has been playing solid baseball for the past month, sporting a 21-10 record in their past 31 games. They have played ten series in that time and won eight and lost two of them.
That includes taking two of three from Pittsburgh on the weekend. After two tightly contested games that the Cubs won by outscoring the Pirates 5-1, Pittsburgh won the finale on Sunday 7-1.
All told, six players have at least 10 RBIs in that time and eight have scored at least 10 runs.
The bullpen has been among the best in baseball, supporting a somewhat shaky starting staff. In the past month, three starters have ERAs 3.90 or worse, but only two relievers have ERAs below 2.53.
Milwaukee had a rock-solid month of May, posting a 20-8 record from the last day of April to the end of May. That brought them into first place in the division, but they’ve cooled since then with a 3-5 record to start June.
In May only the Cubs scored more runs in the National League as they averaged 4.88 RPG. In June, they’ve maintained that average, scoring 4.88 RPG, but six teams are ahead of them.
The pitching has also held steady as they posted a 3.76 ERA in May and are even better with a 3.63 ERA in June.
So what gives?
Well for one thing, Monday will mark their first home game of the month. For another, they’ve played three games decided by two runs or less and they’ve lost them all of them. And finally, although the RPG is solid, 29 of those runs were scored in their three wins. In the five losses they’ve scored a grand total of 10 runs.
They beat Philadelphia in impressive fashion in their first two games of their most recent series, outscoring them 24-7 and then dropped a 4-3 decision on Sunday.
Jose Quintana (6-4, 4.20 ERA) has been coming on strong as they season moves along. He posted a 3.09 ERA in six May starts and then gave up two runs in 5.2 innings of a 5-2 win over the Phillies in his first start to June. The Cubs are 8-4 when he takes the mound.
Junior Guerra (3-4, 2.83 ERA) has seem his ERA creep up after a stellar April where he allowed just two runs in four starts. He had a 3.90 ERA in six May starts and allowed three runs in six innings last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Indians. Milwaukee is 6-5 when he starts.
Chicago is -115 favorites and Milwaukee +105 underdogs. I think the Brewers have battled on the road all month and will welcome the confines of their home stadium with a key win. The Pick: Brewers 5-3.