Vegas Odds & MLB Predictions: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (July 6th, 2018)
New York Heads to Toronto with First Place on Their Mind
The New York Yankees trail the Boston Red Sox by a game in the AL East. This in spite having the fewest losses in the major leagues and having just taken two of three games from Boston last weekend. They followed that up by taking two of three from Atlanta this week.
New York is now 6-3 in their last nine games after dropping three games in a row for the first time all year. That sweep came two weeks ago at the hands of the Rays and they scored just seven runs all series.
Since then they have averaged 5.11 RPG. They’ve also allowed an average of 3.33 RPG over that span. That adds up to a total of 30 runs allowed and 11 of those came in one game against the Red Sox. In the other eight the average is 2.38. That average is much more in line with the kind of dominant pitching we’ve come to expect from the Yankees of late.
In fact, in 27 June games their overall ERA was 2.62 and in four July games it’s 2.84.
The Toronto Blue Jays in the meanwhile are looking for moral victories. That are 40-46 and trying to inch their way back up to .500. They started their season on fire, going 13-6 in their first 19 games. But between April 21st and June 6th they proceeded to go just 13-29 which basically brought their success to a screeching halt.
From June 7th until the end of June they managed to turn things around, going 13-8, so there must be some level of disappointment in how their July has started. They’ve lost three of four this month with the first two coming against a Detroit team that was in the middle of a 12-game losing streak. They followed that up splitting a two-game series against the struggling Mets.
In June Toronto scored 4.19 RPG and their team ERA was 4.09. In July they are scoring 3.5 RPG and their team ERA is 5.84.
Sonny Gray (5-6, 5.44 ERA) seemed to be turning the corner on a weak season with three of his first four June starts allowing a total of three runs. But in his last two he’s allowed ten runs in 9 innings of work. But he’s been excellent at Rogers Centre this year, allowing one run in 12 innings over two games (0.75 ERA). His road ERA in total is a respectable 3.28. The Yankees have lost three of his last four starts and are 5-5 in his last ten.
Sam Gaviglio (2-2, 3.97 ERA) had a strong start last time out, allowing three runs in seven innings to the Tigers. It broke a string of three straight rougher outings where he allowed 11 runs (10 earned) in 12 innings of work. Toronto has won his last three starts and are 4-4 when he starts.