Vegas Odds & MLB Predictions: Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves (July 10th, 2018)
Atlanta Visits Toronto Looking to Get Back on a Winning Streak
The Atlanta Braves are in first place in the NL East, but just by a thread as they have slumped just as the Phillies have gotten on a mini-streak of their own.
Atlanta has faced two division leaders in a row in New York and Milwaukee and they went 2-5 in those games including losses in five out of their last six games.
They played the Toronto Blue Jays back on June 19-20 and split that two-game series and since then their record is 7-9. They also had series with Baltimore, Cincinnati and St Louis.
The Braves have averaged 5 RPG in that time and allowed an average of 5.31 RPG.
In the two-game series with Toronto they won the opener 11-4 and dropped the finale 5-4.
Toronto since that series have also gone 7-9, splitting a four-game series with the Angels and Tigers, splitting a two-game series with the Mets and losing series to the Astros and Yankees.
Most recently they won their opener with the Yankees before dropping the last two including a 2-1 decision on Sunday in ten innings.
In that span they’ve averaged 3.88 RPG and allowed an average of 4.69 RPG.
Julio Teheran (6-6, 4.47 ERA) had been up and down in his last ten starts, essentially trading quality ones with poor ones. He gave up five runs in five innings in a 6-2 loss to the Yankees last time out. In his five poor starts he’s pitched 24.2 innings and allowed 26 runs for a 9.67 ERA. Only one of those starts stretched longer than five innings. In his five quality starts he’s pitched 31 innings, allowing five runs for a 1.45 ERA. None of those starts have been less than six innings.
Marcus Stroman (1-6, 6.50 ERA) has been one of the big disappointments for the Blue Jays this year. Expected to be the ace, instead he’s run into big troubles which eventually landed him on the disabled list at the start of May. He posted a 7.71 ERA in those first seven starts. He returned on June 23rd and looked very good in his first two starts, allowing just one earned run in 12 innings of work. But last time out he struggled, allowing six runs in 4.2 innings and ten baserunners in a 6-3 loss to the Mets.
Atlanta is -128 favorites and Toronto +118 underdogs. It certainly helps the Braves cause that the Blue Jays are struggling to score runs more often than not, so Teheran’s chances of a strong start are good. The Braves also score in bunches and with Stroman still on shaky ground that should give them the edge. The Pick: Braves 6-2.