NFL Odds & Predictions Week 5: Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (October 7th, 2018)
Dallas Visits Houston in Battle of Texas on Sunday Night Football
The Cowboys evened their record at 2-2 last week, winning a dramatic back and forth game with the Detroit Lions, 26-24. The offense showed signs of what they hoped it could be as they put up season highs for points and yards. They had scored just 41 points total in their first three games. The 414 yards accumulated was 111 more than their next highest output.
RB Ezekiel Elliott had arguably his best game as a Cowboy, putting up 240 total yards. He now leads the NFL with 426 yards rushing. He also paired up with Dak Prescott on the clinching completion of the game.
With Dallas trailing 24-23, Prescott threw a perfect over the shoulder catch which Ezekiel took for 34 yards and put Brett Maher in position for the winning field goal.
Demarcus Lawrence led the team with three sacks and he now leads the league with 5.5 four games into the season. The defensive secondary was beat a few times by Matthew Stafford and Golden Tate and there’s no doubt that Houston will to exploit those mismatches.
The Texans finally got their first win of the season after losing their first three games by a grand total of 15 points. QB Deshaun Watson is looking more and more comfortable every game as he comes back from his torn ACL. The Texans offense has put up more than 420 yards each of the last three weeks.
The defense on the other hand has had its struggles, allowing 20 points or more in each game and 27 or more in 3 of them. That includes last week when they gave up a season high 34 points and 478 yards to Andrew Luck and the Colts.
It was a game they were in control of, leading 28-10 with 6:39 to go in the third quarter, but the Colts came back to tie it at 31 and force overtime. The key turning point of the game came with the Colts went for it on fourth and four from their own 43-yard line and 27 seconds remaining in overtime. The Texans got the stop and Watson completed a 24 yard pass to DeAndre Hopkins on the next play to help set up the winning field goal.
JJ Watt has come on strong the last two weeks, notching five sacks after going without one in the first two games.
Houston is -3.5 favorites and the over/under is 45.5. Dallas has had a hard time already this season stopping scrambling quarterbacks in road losses to Carolina and Seattle. Elliott is somewhat banged up as well with knee bursitis so I think this tilts the field in Houston’s direction. The Pick: Texans 27-17.