Vegas Odds & MLB Predictions: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (September 12th, 2018)
Milwaukee Continues Pursuit of Chicago for First in NL Central
Instead it was Jose Quintana coming up huge for the Cubs, throwing a gem of a game in Chicago’s 3-0 victory. He allowed just three hits in 6.2 innings of shutout work. His bullpen supported his strong outing as well as they did not allow anyone to get on base in the 2.1 innings they put up.
The win allowed Chicago to stretch their lead in the division back to two games.
The Cubs were one of the hottest teams in baseball from the beginning of August until their series with the Brewers at the start of September. They posted a 20-10 record over that stretch. But since losing two of the three to Milwaukee they are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Milwaukee in the meanwhile struggled through the first half of August, as their pitching seemed to fall off the rails. They posted a 5-10 record through the first 15 games of the month while allowing an average of 6.8 RPG.
They are 15-6 since that point and the team has allowed an average of 4.10 RPG. Not perfect by any stretch, but a noticeable improvement. The offense has averaged 5.14 RPG over the same span.
Chase Anderson (9-7, 3.95 ERA) has been giving the Brewers short, but good starts more often than not of late. He allowed two runs in five innings in a 4-2 win over the Giants last time out. He gave up one run in five innings in a 5-4 loss to Washington the start before that. Milwaukee has won three of his last four outings after dropping three straight with him on the mound.
Kyle Hendricks (11-10, 3.71 ERA) has allowed two earned runs or less in four straight starts and six of his last eight. The Cubs are 7-1 in those games. Last time out he gave up four runs, but only one earned in five innings of a 6-4 win over the Nationals.
Chicago is -160 favorites and Milwaukee +150 underdogs in this one. Given Hendricks performances of late, the onus will be on the Brewers to manufacture a couple of early runs to give themselves a chance. They’ve been finding a way more often than not lately and I think that’ll serve them well here. The Pick: Brewers 4-3.