Vegas Odds & MLB Predictions: Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (September 11th, 2018)
Chris Sale Makes Return as Boston Hosts Toronto
The Boston Red Sox salvaged a win in their three-game weekend series with the Houston Astros, taking the final 6-5 on a walk-off single. They also led late into Friday’s opener, but in the end they dropped that game 6-3 and Saturday 5-3 in what may be an ALCS preview.
They enter play this week with a comfortable 8.5 game lead over the Yankees for first in the AL East, but the team has been a little up and down of late.
Once on track to win 114 games as recently as mid-August, that number is now down to 110. They are 8-7 in their last 15 games. Only one of those seven losses was by two runs or less. Five of them were by four runs or more.
On the other hand, they’ve scored six or more runs in seven of those wins and five in the other.
The Blue Jays are 5-9 in their last 14 games and that includes a sweep to the hapless Baltimore Orioles at the end of August.
Over that period, Toronto has averaged 3.93 RPG and they’ve allowed 6.07 RPG. That includes allowing seven runs or more in seven of those nine losses.
Chris Sale (12-4, 1.97 ERA) was the clear front runner for the Cy Young award when last he threw a pitch on August 12th. He had already missed two turns in the rotation before shutting out the Orioles in five innings of work. But he’s allowed just one run in his last seven starts spanning 44 innings. He’d also struck out nine or more in each of his last ten starts. In this game, he’s on a strict 40-pitch or two innings count as the team’s ‘opener’. After that Nathan Eovaldi will take over. Boston has won his last seven outings.
Ryan Borucki (3-4, 4.39 ERA) gave up two runs in six innings in a 4-0 loss to Tampa Bay in his last start. He’s had an up and down second half, having allowed two runs or less five of his starts spanning 32.1 innings (1.68 ERA). In the other four starts he’s allowed 19 runs in 14.1 innings (12.13 ERA).